ARC Raiders has sold more than 17 million copies, but Nexon expects its fourth-quarter revenue to stay roughly level with the previous quarter and fall below its launch quarter a year ago. The publisher still forecasts additional game sales and income from paid content, with discounts and the timing of revenue recognition limiting reported growth.
Nexon's November 10 earnings letter says third-quarter revenue met its outlook. Embark Studios' extraction shooter reached the new sales milestone after its October 30, 2025 launch, with players scavenging for supplies while facing hostile machines and rival Raiders.
The quarterly forecast is not simply a prediction that fewer people will buy the game. Nexon expects promotional discounts to reduce revenue per copy, less previously deferred revenue to be recognized and more revenue to be deferred into future periods. It also expects contributions from the Premium Reward Pass and Collector Set DLC. The year-on-year decline compares against the game's initial launch in late 2025.
Frozen Trail brings players back
Nexon credits October's Frozen Trail update with bringing back lapsed players, growing the core community and attracting new buyers. Its emphasis is now on sustaining that audience beyond the first year.
Embark's content preview details the additions behind that push: the snowy Pendola Pass map, a grappling hook and an Outpost research system that unlocks branching upgrades for 15 weapons. Those give returning Raiders new places to explore and equipment to work toward.
The Steam player surge around Frozen Trail also coincided with an October 8–12 full-game free-play event. That promotion has ended. Concurrent-player figures from that period are not a count of copies sold. ARC Raiders is available on PC, PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S.